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ESMValTool

  • Introduction
  • ESMValTool Functionalities
  • Gallery
  • Getting started
    • Installation
    • Configuration
    • Running
    • Output
  • Recipes
    • Model Benchmarking
    • General model evaluation
    • Monitor
    • Portrait plot
    • Sanity checks
    • Seaborn Diagnostics
    • CMIP Rapid Evaluation Framework (REF)
    • Blocking metrics and indices, teleconnections and weather regimes (MiLES)
    • Generating Climate Patterns from CMIP6 Models
    • Clouds
    • Evaluate water vapor short wave radiance absorption schemes of ESMs with the observations, including ESACCI data.
    • Cloud Regime Error Metric (CREM)
    • Evaluate water vapor short wave radiance absorption schemes of ESMs with the observations.
    • Diurnal temperature range
    • Droughts
      • Consecutive dry days
      • Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI)
      • Drought characteristics following Martin (2018)
    • Eady growth rate
    • Extreme Events Indices (ETCCDI)
    • Combined Climate Extreme Index
    • Diagnostics of stratospheric dynamics and chemistry
    • Ozone and associated climate impacts
    • Spatially resolved evaluation of ESMs with satellite column-averaged CO2
    • Heat wave and cold wave duration
    • Hydroclimatic intensity and extremes (HyInt)
    • Implied heat transport from Top of Atmosphere fluxes
    • Quick insights for climate impact researchers
    • Lifetime
    • Modes of variability
    • Diagnostics of integrated atmospheric methane (XCH4)
    • Precipitation quantile bias
    • Quantifying progress across different CMIP phases
    • Stratosphere - Autoassess diagnostics
    • Land-surface Permafrost - Autoassess diagnostics
    • Land-surface Surface Radiation - Autoassess diagnostics
    • Land-surface Soil Moisture - Autoassess diagnostics
    • Stratosphere-troposphere coupling and annular modes indices (ZMNAM)
    • Thermodynamics of the Climate System - The Diagnostic Tool TheDiaTo v1.0
    • Zonal and Meridional Means
    • Radiation Budget
    • AOD AeroNET Assess
    • Surface trace gases
    • Performance metrics for essential climate parameters
    • Single Model Performance Index (SMPI)
    • Climate model Weighting by Independence and Performance (ClimWIP)
    • Constraining future Indian Summer Monsoon projections with the present-day precipitation over the tropical western Pacific
    • Context for interpreting equilibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response from the CMIP6 Earth system models
    • Emergent constraints for equilibrium climate sensitivity
    • Emergent constraints on carbon cycle feedbacks
    • Emergent constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?
    • Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability
    • Emergent constraint on snow-albedo effect
    • Equilibrium climate sensitivity
    • KNMI Climate Scenarios 2014
    • Multiple ensemble diagnostic regression (MDER) for constraining future austral jet position
    • Projected land photosynthesis constrained by changes in the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2
    • Transient Climate Response
    • Transient Climate Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions (TCRE)
    • Climate model projections from the ScenarioMIP of CMIP6
    • Climate Change Hotspot
    • Cloud properties and their projected changes in CMIP models with low to high climate sensitivity
    • Zero Emissions Commitment (ZEC)
    • Physical Climate at Global Warming Levels (GWLs)
    • IPCC AR6 Chapter 3 (selected figures)
    • IPCC AR5 Chapter 9 (selected figures)
    • IPCC AR5 Chapter 12 (selected figures)
    • Landcover - Albedo
    • Turnover time of carbon over land ecosystems
    • Hydrological models - data pre-processing
    • Hydro forcing comparison
    • Landcover diagnostics
    • Land and ocean components of the global carbon cycle
    • Runoff, Precipitation, Evapotranspiration
    • Climate drivers of fire
    • Recipe for evaluating Arctic Ocean
    • Climate Variability Diagnostics Package (CVDP)
    • Nino indices, North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Souther Oscillation Index (SOI)
    • Ocean chlorophyll in ESMs compared to ESA-CCI observations.
    • ENSO CLIVAR metrics - reproducing background climatology and ENSO characteristics
    • ENSO CLIVAR metrics - reproducing ENSO characteristics, lifecycle, seasonality, teleconnections
    • Ocean diagnostics
    • Sea Surface Salinity Evaluation
    • Ocean metrics
    • Capacity factor of wind power: Ratio of average estimated power to theoretical maximum power
    • CMORizer recipes
    • Ensemble Clustering - a cluster analysis tool for climate model simulations (EnsClus)
    • ESA CCI LST comparison to Historical Models
    • Example recipes
    • Timeseries for Arctic-Midlatitude Teleconnections
    • Multi-model products
    • Capacity factor for solar photovoltaic (PV) systems
    • Sea Ice
    • Seaice drift
    • Seaice feedback
    • Sea Ice Sensitivity
    • Shapeselect
    • Short test versions of scientific recipes to check for backward compatibility.
    • Toymodel
    • Legacy Recipes
      • Legacy recipe: Psyplot Diagnostics
      • Legacy recipe: RainFARM stochastic downscaling
      • Legacy recipe: Constraining uncertainty in projected gross primary production (GPP) with machine learning
      • Legacy Recipe: Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI)
    • Broken recipe list
  • Diagnostics API Reference
    • Shared diagnostic script code
    • Drought Diagnostics
      • Drought Metrics following Martin (2018)
      • Difference Maps
    • Emergent constraints diagnostics
      • Emergent constraint on ECS from global temperature variability
      • Calculation of emergent constraints on ECS
      • Evaluate multiple emergent constraints simultaneously
      • Evaluate single emergent constraint
      • Auxiliary functions for emergent constraints scripts
    • Calculating and displaying multiple representations of the CH4 lifetime
    • Monitor Diagnostic
      • Monitoring diagnostic to plot arbitrary preprocessor output
      • Monitoring diagnostic to plot EOF maps and associated PC timeseries
      • Monitoring diagnostic to show multiple datasets in one plot (incl. biases)
      • Base class for monitoring diagnostics
    • Ocean diagnostics toolkit
    • Seaborn Diagnostic
    • Portrait Plot
    • Transient Climate Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions (TCRE)
    • Zero Emissions Commitment (ZEC)
  • Obtaining input data
  • Making a recipe or diagnostic
    • Introduction
    • Recipe
    • Diagnostic
    • Dataset
  • Contributing to the community
    • Contributing code and documentation
    • Contributing a diagnostic or recipe
    • Policy on backward compatibility
    • Broken recipe policy
    • Contributing a dataset
    • Supporting multiple dataset versions
    • Contributing a review
    • Maintaining a recipe
    • Upgrading a namelist to a recipe
    • GitHub workflow
    • Moving work from the private to the public repository
    • Release strategy and procedures
      • Release strategy and procedure
      • Detailed testing before release
  • Utilities
    • Recipe Test Workflow (RTW)
      • About
      • Currently tested recipes
      • User Guide
        • Quick Start Guide
        • The workflow
        • Running the RTW on DKRZ in “production mode”
      • How to add a recipe to the RTW
      • Glossary
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Changelog
  • Gallery

Gallery#

This section shows example plots produced by ESMValTool. For more information, follow the links in the figure captions.A website displaying results produced with the latest release of ESMValTool for all available recipes can be accessed here.

_images/consec_example_freq.png

Fig. 2 Example of the number of occurrences with consecutive dry days of more than five days in the period …#

_images/martin18grl_fig1.png

Fig. 3 Global map of the percentage difference between multi-model mean of 15 CMIP models and the CRU data …#

_images/spi_example.png

Fig. 4 Example plot of SPI averaged over the year 2005. The reference period for index calibration is 2000-…#

_images/MPI-ESM-LR_albedo_change_from_tree_to_crop-grass.png

Fig. 5 Example of albedo change from tree to crop and grass for the CMIP5 model MPI-ESM-LR derived for the …#

_images/nbp_evolution_global.png

Fig. 6 Time series of global net biome productivity (NBP) over the period 1901-2005. Similar to Anav et al….#

_images/UKESM1-0-LL_CMIP_AERmon_historical_od440aer_gn_1994_2014_DJF.png

Fig. 7 Evaluation of AOD at 440 nm from UKESM1 historical ensemble member r1i1p1f2 against the AeroNET clim…#

_images/hofm.png

Fig. 8 Hovmoller diagram of monthly spatially averaged potential temperature in the Eurasian Basin of the A…#

_images/pf_extent_north_america_ACCESS-CM2.png

Fig. 9 Permafrost extent and zero degC isotherm, showing North America#

_images/Soilmoisture_Metrics.png

Fig. 10 Normalised metrics plot comparing a control and experiment simulation#

_images/Surfrad_Metrics.png

Fig. 11 Normalised metrics plot comparing a control and experiment simulation#

_images/metrics.png

Fig. 12 Standard metrics plot comparing standard metrics from UKESM1-0-LL and HadGEM3-GC31.#

_images/annual_cycle.png

Fig. 13 (Left) Multi-year global mean (2000-2004) of the seasonal cycle of near-surface temperature in K fro…#

_images/tas_Global_CMIP6_historical_anom_1850-2014.png

Fig. 14 Observed and simulated time series of the anomalies in annual and global mean surface temperature. A…#

_images/map_netcre.png

Fig. 15 Geographical map of the multi-year annual mean net cloud radiative effect from (a) CERES–EBAF Ed4.2 …#

_images/CMIP6_mm_mean_ssp126_1.5_tas.png

Fig. 16 Multimodel mean of temperature under SSP1-2.6 at 1.5 degC warming.#

_images/capacity_factor_IPSL-CM5A-MR_2021-2050.png

Fig. 17 Wind capacity factor for five turbines: Enercon E70 (top-left), Gamesa G80 (middle-top), Gamesa G87 …#

_images/r_tau_ctotal_climate_pearson_Carvalhais2014_gnz.png

Fig. 18 Comparison of latitudinal (zonal) variations of pearson correlation between turnover time and climat…#

_images/tas_45.png

Fig. 19 Mediterranean region temperature change differences against the mean global temperature change. The …#

_images/patterns.png

Fig. 20 Patterns generated for CMIP6 models, gridded view. Patterns are shown per variable, for the month of…#

_images/independence_tas.png

Fig. 21 Distance matrix for temperature, providing the independence metric.#

_images/clouds_lwp_annual.png

Fig. 22 The 20-yr average LWP (1986-2005) from the CMIP5 historical model runs and the multi-model mean in c…#

_images/fig_deangelis_cmug_cdr2.png

Fig. 23 Scatter plot and regression line computed between the ratio of the change of net short wave radiatio…#

_images/collins_fig_1.png

Fig. 24 Surface air temperature change in 2081–2100 displayed as anomalies with respect to 1986–2005 for RCP…#

_images/Nino3.4_tos_Dec-Feb_running-mean__1950-2005.png

Fig. 25 Time series of the standardized sea surface temperature (tos) area averaged over the Nino 3.4 region…#

_images/temperature_anomaly_HadCRUT4.png

Fig. 26 Simulated change in global temperature from CMIP5 models (coloured lines), compared to the global te…#

_images/crem_error_metric.png

Fig. 27 Cloud Regime Error Metrics (CREMpd) from William and Webb (2009) applied to selected CMIP5 AMIP simu…#

_images/nam.prreg.ann.png

Fig. 28 Regression of the precipitation anomalies (PR) onto the Northern Annular Mode (NAM) index for the ti…#

_images/bar_all.png

Fig. 29 Global average multi-model mean comparing different model experiments for the sum of upward long wav…#

_images/Seasonal_DTRindicator_MPI-ESM-MR_2030_2080_1961_1990.png

Fig. 30 Mean number of days exceeding the Diurnal Temperature Range (DTR) simulated during the historical pe…#

_images/HadGEM3-GC31-LM_winter_eady_growth_rate_70000.png

Fig. 31 Eady Growth Rate values over the North-Atlantic region at 70000 Pa.#

_images/CanESM2.png

Fig. 32 Scatterplot between TOA radiance and global mean surface temperature anomaly for 150 years of the ab…#

_images/ltmi.png

Fig. 33 Lower tropospheric mixing index (LTMI; Sherwood et al., 2014) vs. equilibrium climate sensitivity fr…#

_images/ensclus.png

Fig. 34 Clustering based on the 75th percentile of historical summer (JJA) precipitation rate for CMIP5 mode…#

_images/ACCESS-ESM1-5_DJF_ts_telecon.png

Fig. 35 PR or SST anomalies on Earth (between 60°S-60°N), showing the location associated with ENSO.#

_images/ACCESS-CM2_eq_tauu_bias.png

Fig. 36 Bias in the zonal structure of zonal wind stress (Taux) in the equatorial Pacific (5°S-5°N averaged)…#

_images/lst_example.png

Fig. 37 Timeseries of the ESA CCI LST minus mean of CMIP6 ensembles. The selected region is 35E-175E, 55N-70…#

_images/model_vs_obs_MassConcentrationofTotalPhytoplanktonExpressedasChlorophyllinSeaWater_NorESM2-LM_ESACCI-OC__maps.png

Fig. 38 Surface chlorophyll from ESACCI-OC ocean colour data version 5.0 and the CMIP6 model NorESM2-LM. Thi…#

_images/map.png

Fig. 39 Air temperature in January 2000 (BCC-ESM1 CMIP6).#

_images/gleckler.png

Fig. 40 Portrait plot of relative error metrics for the CMIP5 temperature and precipitation extreme indices …#

_images/t90p_IPSL-CM5A-LR_rcp85_2020_2040.png

Fig. 41 Average change in the heat component (t90p metric) of the Combined Climate Extreme Index for the 202…#

_images/fig_diagn01.png

Fig. 42 Climatological mean temperature biases for (top) 60–90N and (bottom) 60–90S for the (left) winter an…#

_images/fig_eyr13jgr_12.png

Fig. 43 Long-term mean (thin black contour) and linear trend (colour) of zonal mean DJF zonal winds for the …#

_images/Timeseries_Arctic_temperature_anomalies.png

Fig. 44 Monthly mean temperature anomalies in the Arctic (65°–90°N) from observations and selected CMIP6 mod…#

_images/fig02.png

Fig. 45 Comparison of time series from satellite, in situ, and models sampled accordingly. Caveat: inset plo…#

_images/fig05.png

Fig. 46 Panel plot of spatially resolved seasonal cycle amplitude for all models, including a zonal average …#

_images/tasmax_extreme_spell_durationsummer_IPSL-CM5A-LR_rcp85_2020_2040.png

Fig. 47 Mean number of summer days during the period 2060-2080 when the daily maximum near-surface air tempe…#

_images/Precipitation_day_plot.png

Fig. 48 Precipitation per day for 2015-01-01:2016-12-31.#

_images/hyint_maps.png

Fig. 49 Mean hydroclimatic intensity for the EC-EARTH model, for the historical + RCP8.5 projection in the p…#

_images/figure1_CERES-EBAF_CERES-EBAF.png

Fig. 50 The implied heat transport due to the total net flux (blue), split into the contributions from the S…#

_images/bias_vs_change.png

Fig. 51 Bias and change for each variable#

_images/fig-9-2.png

Fig. 52 Figure 9.2 a,b,c: Annual-mean surface air temperature for the period 1980-2005. a) multi-model mean,…#

_images/model_bias_tas_annualclim_CMIP6.png

Fig. 53 Figure 3.3: Annual mean near-surface (2 m) air temperature (°C) for the period 1995-2014. (a) Multi-…#

_images/global_matching.png

Fig. 54 CMIP spread in global temperature change, highlighting selected steering parameters and resampling p…#

_images/area_treeFrac.png

Fig. 55 Accumulated tree covered area for different regions and experiments.#

_images/li17natcc_fig2a.png

Fig. 56 Scatter plot of the simulated tropical western Pacific precipitation (mm d-1) versus projected avera…#

_images/timeseries_ambiguous_dataset_ch4_TROP.png

Fig. 57 No caption available#

_images/cmip6_gregory_regression.png

Fig. 58 ECS calculated for the CMIP6 models using the Gregory method over different time scales. Using the e…#

_images/miles_block.png

Fig. 59 Blocking Events frequency for a CMIP5 EC-Earth historical run (DJF 1980-1989), compared to ERA-Inter…#

_images/map_tas_MPI-ESM1-2-HR_Amon.jpg

Fig. 60 Global climatology of 2m near-surface air temperature.#

_images/SON-psl_predicted_regimes.png

Fig. 61 Four modes of variability for autumn (September-October-November) in the North Atlantic European Sec…#

_images/clim.png

Fig. 62 Global climatology of tas.#

_images/lineplot_xch4_2003-2014_monmean.png

Fig. 63 Monthly mean time series of XCH4, calculated over the whole globe, for individual CMIP6 model simula…#

_images/tas_JUN_multimodel-anomaly_2006_2099_1961_1990.png

Fig. 64 Multi-model mean anomaly of 2-m air temperature during the future projection 2006-2099 in June consi…#

_images/perfmetrics_fig_1.png

Fig. 65 Annual cycle of globally averaged temperature at 850 hPa (time period 1980-2005) for different CMIP5…#

_images/portrait_plot.png

Fig. 66 Relative space-time root-mean-square deviation (RMSD) calculated from the climatological seasonal cy…#

_images/capacity_factor_IPSL-CM5A-MR_1980-2005_DJF.png

Fig. 67 PV capacity factor calculated from IPSL-CM5-MR during the DJF season for 1980–2005.#

_images/quantilebias.png

Fig. 68 Quantile bias, as defined in Mehran et al. 2014, with threshold t=75th percentile, evaluated for the…#

_images/UKESM1-0-LL.png

Fig. 69 Radiation budget for UKESM1-0-LL#

_images/map_lwcre_MPI-ESM1-2-LR_Amon.png

Fig. 70 Geographical map of the climatological mean longwave cloud radiative effect from MPI-ESM1-2-LR and C…#

_images/burnt_fraction_MPI-ESM1-2-LR_historical_2013_2014.png

Fig. 71 Burnt area fraction for the MPI-ESM1-2-LR model (CMIP-historical experiment) for the time period 201…#

_images/catchments.png

Fig. 72 Catchment definitions used in the diagnostics.#

_images/Fig1_polar-contour_tauu_1986-2005.png

Fig. 73 Figure 1: Annual-mean zonal wind stress (tauu - N/m2) with eastward wind stress as positive plotted …#

_images/timeseries_ambiguous_variable_group_MPI-ESM1-2-LR_Amon_historical_r1i1p1f1.png

Fig. 74 Time series of monthly global average (solid line) and minimum / maximum (dashed lines) total cloud …#

_images/SHL_scatter.png

Fig. 75 Emergent relationship (solid blue and orange lines) of the Sherwood et al. (2014) emergent constrain…#

_images/radar_bias.png

Fig. 76 Radar plot showing the mean state biases (simulation minus observations) for the regional averages o…#

_images/ta_vs_lat.jpg

Fig. 77 Monthly and zonal mean temperatures vs. latitude in the period 1991-2014 for two Earth system models…#

_images/trend_sic_extend_Arctic_September_histogram.png

Fig. 78 Sea ice extent trend distribution for the Arctic in September (similar to IPCC AR5 Chapter 9, Fig. 9…#

_images/drift-strength.png

Fig. 79 Scatter plots of modelled (red) and observed (blue) monthly mean sea-ice drift speed against sea-ice…#

_images/negative_feedback.png

Fig. 80 Seaice negative feedback values (CMIP5 historical experiment 1979-2004).#

_images/September_Arctic_sea_ice_sensitivity.png

Fig. 81 Plot of sensitivity of northern hemisphere sea ice area loss (millions of square kilometres) in the …#

_images/shapeselect.png

Fig. 82 Example of the selection of model grid points falling within (blue pluses) and without (red dots) a …#

_images/reichlerkim08bams_smpi.png

Fig. 83 Performance index I2 for individual models (circles). Circle sizes indicate the length of the 95% co…#

_images/fig-9-45a.png

Fig. 84 Scatterplot of springtime snow-albedo effect values in climate change vs. springtime Delta alpha_s…#

_images/CNRM-ESM2-1_Amon_esm-hist_co2s_2000_2014_seas_map.png

Fig. 85 Evaluation of seasonal surface concentration of CO2 from CNRM-ESM2-1 esm-hist member r1i1p1f3 agains…#

_images/CanESM21.png

Fig. 86 Time series of the global mean surface air temperature anomaly (relative to the linear fit of the pr…#

_images/tcre.jpg

Fig. 87 Global mean surface air temperature anomaly versus cumulative CO2 emissions for MPI-ESM1-2-LR using …#

_images/tas_timeseries.png

Fig. 88 Global average temperature time series (11-year running averages) of changes from current baseline (…#

_images/meridional_transp.png

Fig. 89 Meridional transports.#

_images/synthetic_CMIP5_bcc-csm1-1_Amon_rcp45_r1i1p1_psl_2051-2060.jpg

Fig. 90 Twenty synthetic single-model ensemble generated by the recipe_toymodel.yml (see Section 3.7.2) for …#

_images/Merid_Mean_DJF_longitude_tas_UKESM1-0-LL_vs_IPSL-CM6A-LR.png

Fig. 91 Meridional seasonal mean for winter (DJF) comparison beween CMIP6 UKESM1 and IPSL models.#

_images/tas_Global_CMIP5_1pctCO2_anom__1-1999.png

Fig. 92 Time series of tropical (30S to 30N) mean near surface temperature (tas) change between year 30 and …#

_images/CMPI5_uajet-pos_rcp45_20ystep_FIG1.png

Fig. 93 Time series of the the target variable (future austral jet position in the RCP 4.5 scenario) for the…#

_images/fig_1.png

Fig. 94 Comparison of CO2 seasonal amplitudes for CMIP5 historical simulations and observations showing annu…#

_images/zec_ts.png

Fig. 95 Time series of ZEC - temperature change after cessation of emissions.#

_images/zmnam_reg.png

Fig. 96 Regression map of the Northern Hemisphere zonal mean AM index onto geopotential height, for a select…#

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Birgit Hassler (Project Co-PI)
Axel Lauer (Core Developer)

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